25 de març 2022

The current health labour market fiasco

 Informe Oferta-Necesidad de Especialistas Médicos 2021-2035

In 2028, in Spain there will be 196.347 physicians, according to estimates, so from that year to 2035 18.098 physicians will be incorporated. However, there are currently 192.484 professionals, so in the next seven years only 3.863 will be hired.

The total number of active physicians in Spain currently represents a ratio of 406,13 specialists per 100.000 inhabitants. Private employment would concentrate 30 percent of the total number of physicians, with an increase of 7 percent since 2018, while the fall in public employment is 1.7 percent (?).

2027 will be a turning point. In that year there will be a global deficit of about 9.000 physicians at least, which is mainly due to a lack of Primary care physicians.

We are closer to the great fiasco, now it is time to make decisions to avoid it.

PS. There is a "minor" issue, the estimates are wrong.   The report takes into account only physicians, and there are specialties where most positions are filled by health professionals, biologists, chemists, ....  and the report forgets it. The mismatch is larger and the coming crisis a chaos.

Can you imagine that after 5 reports, after 15 years!, nobody cares about it?



The dark future health labour market